D3 sql+executed, run 5: the query session

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5 queries0 failed1 rounds
The opening prompt
## The data

You can't see the data, but you can query it. It is in DuckDB, in the tables below. Write DuckDB SQL.

To run queries, reply with one or more fenced blocks (```sql), and nothing else is needed:
each is run and its results sent back to you. You have up to 8 rounds of queries.
When you have what you need, reply with the final answers and no queries.

All columns are text (VARCHAR); dates are ISO strings.

- `entities` (16 rows): entity_id, name, lei, country, entity_type, parent_id, ultimate_parent_id, record_ids
- `instruments` (8 rows): instrument_id, description, issuer_id, guarantor_id, credit_risk_of, seniority, currency, local_currency, maturity
- `ratings` (41 rows): rated_id, rating_type, ccy_basis, rating, outlook, watch, action, valid_from, valid_to, action_id
- `ceilings` (2 rows): country, ceiling, valid_from
- `ancestors` (4 rows): entity_id, ancestor_id, levels_up

These tables are the data after its rules have been applied: duplicate records merged into one entity (record_ids lists the records each entity merges), and each rating with the period it held. An empty valid_to means the rating was still in force on 1 October 2026. ancestors lists every entity above each entity in its chain of parents, with how many levels up.

## Questions

Answer each question below from the data above. Start each answer on a new line with its
number in bold, like **Q1.**, give the direct answer first, then at most two sentences of
reasoning that cite the records (IDs) you relied on.

Then end with one JSON block (```json) holding the structured answer to each question listed
here, with exactly these fields, shaped like {"Q1": {"field": value}, ...}. Name entities by their record ID: the entity_id in the CSV files, or the part of the IRI after lad: in the RDF (E01, not Kestrel Energy plc).

- Q1: rating (a rating, or "none")
- Q2: downgraded ("yes", "no" or "depends")
- Q3: investment_grade ("yes", "no" or "depends"), rating (a rating, or "none")
- Q4: outlook (an outlook)
- Q5: risk_of (a record ID), rating (a rating, or "none")
- Q7: issuers (a list of record IDs)
- Q8: entities (a list of record IDs)
- Q9: count (a number)
- Q10: investment_grade ("yes", "no" or "depends")
- Q11: rating (a rating, or "none")
- Q12: rating (a rating, or "none")
- Q13: count (a number)
- Q14: rating (a rating, or "none")
- Q15: rating (a rating, or "none")
- Q16: changed ("yes", "no" or "depends")
- Q17: downgraded ("yes", "no" or "depends")
- Q18: issuers (a list of record IDs)
- Q19: issuers (a list of record IDs)
- Q20: in_default ("yes", "no" or "depends")
- Q21: entities (a list of record IDs)
- Q22: entities (a list of record IDs)
- Q23: rating (a rating, or "none")
- Q24: investment_grade ("yes", "no" or "depends")
- Q25: count (a number)
- Q26: rating (a rating, or "none")
- Q27: rating (a rating, or "none")
- Q28: rating (a rating, or "none")
- Q29: rating (a rating, or "none")
- Q30: entities (a list of record IDs)
- Q31: any ("yes", "no" or "depends")
- Q32: parent (a record ID)
- Q33: risk_of (a record ID), rating (a rating, or "none")
- Q34: same_group ("yes", "no" or "depends")
- Q35: count (a number)
- Q36: count (a number)
- Q37: count (a number)
- Q38: same ("yes", "no" or "depends")
- Q39: rating (a rating, or "none")
- Q40: count (a number)
- Q41: rating (a rating, or "none")
- Q42: country (a country code)
- Q43: count (a number)
- Q44: local_currency ("yes", "no" or "depends")
- Q45: above_ceiling ("yes", "no" or "depends")
- Q46: issuer_rating ("yes", "no" or "depends")
- Q47: rating (a rating, or "none")
- Q48: count (a number)

Q1. What was Kestrel Energy's rating on 1 January 2025?
Q2. Has Kestrel Energy been downgraded in 2026?
Q3. Is Kestrel Energy's 2031 note investment grade?
Q4. What is Northwind Holdings' current outlook?
Q5. Whose credit risk does a holder of the Northwind Finance 2030 notes take, and how is it rated?
Q6. Why is Valdoria Telecom's foreign-currency rating lower than its local-currency rating?
Q7. Which issuers were downgraded in 2026?
Q8. Which entities were in default on 1 October 2026?
Q9. As of 1 October 2026, how many distinct issuers hold an issuer rating?
Q10. Is Valdoria Telecom investment grade?
Q11. What was Marlow Utilities' rating on 1 June 2025?
Q12. What was Marlow Utilities' rating on 1 January 2024?
Q13. How many times has Marlow Utilities been downgraded?
Q14. What was Halden Foods' rating on 1 January 2024?
Q15. What was Halden Bank's rating on 1 January 2026?
Q16. Has Marlow Utilities' rating changed since 1 January 2025?
Q17. Was Orrin Bank downgraded in 2026?
Q18. Which issuers were on Rating Watch Negative on 1 October 2026?
Q19. Which issuers had a Negative outlook on 1 October 2026?
Q20. Is Pellam Retail in default?
Q21. Which entities had an issuer rating at some point but no longer had one on 1 October 2026?
Q22. Which entities have ever been in default?
Q23. What is Kestrel Energy's short-term rating?
Q24. Is Kestrel Energy's issuer rating investment grade?
Q25. How many instruments held an investment-grade rating on 1 October 2026?
Q26. What is Corvenia Power's local-currency rating?
Q27. How is Corvenia Power's 2032 note rated?
Q28. What is the Republic of Corvenia's foreign-currency issuer rating?
Q29. What is the Republic of Valdoria's issuer rating?
Q30. Which entities had a foreign-currency issuer rating exactly at their country's ceiling on 1 October 2026?
Q31. Did any company have a foreign-currency issuer rating above its country's ceiling on 1 October 2026?
Q32. Who is Halden Leasing's ultimate parent?
Q33. Whose credit risk does a holder of the Halden Leasing 2028 notes take, and how is it rated?
Q34. Is Halden Foods part of the same group as Halden Bank?
Q35. How many entities are in the Halden group, the parent included?
Q36. How many entities are in the Northwind group, the parent included?
Q37. How many distinct legal entities does the data describe?
Q38. Are Orrin Bank AG and Orrin Bancorp Inc the same entity?
Q39. What is Northwind Holdings' current rating?
Q40. How many distinct issuers domiciled in GB held an issuer rating on 1 October 2026?
Q41. What is Brindle Capital's current rating?
Q42. In which country is Halden Bank domiciled?
Q43. How many distinct entities are domiciled in Luxembourg (LU)?
Q44. Is Valdoria Telecom's 2027 note a local-currency obligation?
Q45. Is Valdoria Telecom's 2027 note rated above what Valdoria's Country Ceiling allows?
Q46. Does Halden Leasing have an issuer rating?
Q47. How is Corvenia Power's 2034 note rated?
Q48. How many instruments held a rating on 1 October 2026?
The model
Let me start by looking at the data.

```sql
SELECT * FROM entities;
```
```sql
SELECT * FROM instruments;
```
```sql
SELECT * FROM ratings ORDER BY rated_id, rating_type, ccy_basis, valid_from;
```
```sql
SELECT * FROM ceilings;
```
```sql
SELECT * FROM ancestors;
```
Query results
Query 1:

| entity_id | name | lei | country | entity_type | parent_id | ultimate_parent_id | record_ids |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CV | Republic of Corvenia |  | CV | SOV |  |  | CV |
| VD | Republic of Valdoria |  | VD | SOV |  |  | VD |
| E01 | Kestrel Energy plc | 7245002OOPBG04092E43 | GB | CORP |  |  | E01 |
| E02 | Northwind Holdings plc | 213800PHEIYNJMHTDV74 | GB | CORP |  |  | E02 E03 |
| E04 | Northwind Finance BV | 213800LA5RYJLGXV2T85 | NL | FINSUB | E02 | E02 | E04 |
| E05 | Valdoria Telecom SA | 391200LESH03LMOY2U61 | VD | CORP |  |  | E05 |
| E06 | Orrin Bank AG | 549300AMVE3VRVG7HK43 | DE | BANK |  |  | E06 |
| E07 | Pellam Retail Ltd | 969500B6IUACELPI2291 | GB | CORP |  |  | E07 |
| E08 | Saxby Shipping SA | 969500KOTZ1JFIZSG796 | GR | CORP |  |  | E08 |
| E09 | Halden Group plc | 815600ASM9EHDG931T89 | GB | CORP |  |  | E09 |
| E10 | Halden Bank AG | 391200QYPVFF2O9K2039 | LU | BANK | E09 | E09 | E10 E17 |
| E11 | Halden Leasing SA | 549300XBZH4ULO9MQV55 | FR | FINSUB | E10 | E09 | E11 |
| E12 | Halden Foods Ltd | 213800IJDL4OJ4DG5T19 | GB | CORP |  |  | E12 |
| E13 | Orrin Bancorp Inc | 815600O8X8K2F154N214 | US | BANK |  |  | E13 |
| E14 | Marlow Utilities plc | 3912005AH2C1I9YF8106 | GB | CORP |  |  | E14 |
| E15 | Corvenia Power SA | 213800PBQVHVBBH6GV02 | CV | CORP |  |  | E15 |

Query 2:

| instrument_id | description | issuer_id | guarantor_id | credit_risk_of | seniority | currency | local_currency | maturity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I01 | Kestrel Energy 4.50% notes due 2030 | E01 |  | E01 | SU | GBP | no | 2030-03-15 |
| I02 | Kestrel Energy 6.25% notes due 2031 | E01 |  | E01 | SUB | GBP | no | 2031-09-30 |
| I03 | Northwind Finance 3.75% notes due 2030 | E04 | E02 | E02 | SU | EUR | no | 2030-05-01 |
| I04 | Valdoria Telecom 5.00% notes due 2029 | E05 |  | E05 | SU | USD | no | 2029-11-20 |
| I05 | Halden Leasing 2.90% notes due 2028 | E11 | E10 | E10 | SU | EUR | no | 2028-06-30 |
| I06 | Corvenia Power 7.10% notes due 2032 | E15 |  | E15 | SUB | USD | no | 2032-02-15 |
| I07 | Valdoria Telecom 4.25% notes due 2027 | E05 |  | E05 | SU | XVD | yes | 2027-08-31 |
| I08 | Corvenia Power 6.00% notes due 2034 | E15 |  | E15 | SU | USD | no | 2034-09-01 |

Query 3:

| rated_id | rating_type | ccy_basis | rating | outlook | watch | action | valid_from | valid_to | action_id |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CV | LTIDR | FC | BBB+ | STA |  | AS | 2024-01-01 |  | A38 |
| CV | LTIDR | LC | A- | STA |  | AS | 2024-01-01 |  | A39 |
| E01 | LTIDR | FC | A- | STA |  | AS | 2024-03-12 | 2025-06-20 | A01 |
| E01 | LTIDR | FC | BBB | STA |  | DG | 2025-06-20 | 2026-02-10 | A02 |
| E01 | LTIDR | FC | BBB | NEG |  | AF | 2026-02-10 |  | A03 |
| E01 | STIDR | FC | F2 |  |  | AF | 2026-02-10 |  | A04 |
| E02 | LTIDR | FC | A | STA |  | AS | 2023-11-01 | 2025-09-15 | A08 |
| E02 | LTIDR | FC | A | POS |  | AF | 2025-09-15 |  | A09 |
| E05 | LTIDR | FC | BB | STA |  | AS | 2025-04-01 |  | A14 |
| E05 | LTIDR | LC | BBB- | STA |  | AS | 2025-04-01 |  | A13 |
| E06 | LTIDR | FC | A- | STA |  | AS | 2024-05-01 | 2026-09-03 | A16 |
| E06 | LTIDR | FC | A- |  | RWN | RW | 2026-09-03 |  | A17 |
| E07 | LTIDR | FC | BB | STA |  | AS | 2024-01-10 | 2026-05-12 | A18 |
| E07 | LTIDR | FC | WD |  |  | WD | 2026-05-12 |  | A19 |
| E08 | LTIDR | FC | B | STA |  | AS | 2024-06-01 | 2026-01-20 | A20 |
| E08 | LTIDR | FC | CCC |  |  | DG | 2026-01-20 | 2026-07-08 | A21 |
| E08 | LTIDR | FC | RD |  |  | DG | 2026-07-08 |  | A22 |
| E09 | LTIDR | FC | A | STA |  | AS | 2023-05-01 | 2026-03-01 | A24 |
| E09 | LTIDR | FC | A | NEG |  | AF | 2026-03-01 |  | A25 |
| E10 | LTIDR | FC | A- | STA |  | AS | 2023-05-01 | 2026-04-15 | A26 |
| E10 | LTIDR | FC | BBB+ | STA |  | DG | 2026-04-15 |  | A27 |
| E12 | LTIDR | FC | BB- | STA |  | AS | 2024-02-01 | 2025-08-01 | A30 |
| E12 | LTIDR | FC | BB | STA |  | UG | 2025-08-01 |  | A31 |
| E13 | LTIDR | FC | BBB | STA |  | AS | 2024-07-01 |  | A32 |
| E14 | LTIDR | FC | A- | STA |  | AS | 2023-01-15 | 2024-09-30 | A34 |
| E14 | LTIDR | FC | BBB+ | STA |  | DG | 2024-09-30 | 2025-11-20 | A36 |
| E14 | LTIDR | FC | BBB+ |  | RWN | RW | 2025-11-20 | 2026-05-01 | A35 |
| E14 | LTIDR | FC | BBB+ | STA |  | AF | 2026-05-01 |  | A33 |
| E15 | LTIDR | FC | A | STA |  | AS | 2024-03-01 |  | A41 |
| E15 | LTIDR | LC | A+ | STA |  | AS | 2024-03-01 |  | A40 |
| I01 | INST |  | A- |  |  | AS | 2024-03-12 | 2025-06-20 | A05 |
| I01 | INST |  | BBB |  |  | DG | 2025-06-20 |  | A06 |
| I02 | INST |  | BBB |  |  | AS | 2024-03-12 | 2025-06-20 | A23 |
| I02 | INST |  | BB+ |  |  | DG | 2025-06-20 |  | A07 |
| I03 | INST |  | A |  |  | AS | 2023-11-01 | 2025-09-15 | A10 |
| I03 | INST |  | A |  |  | AF | 2025-09-15 |  | A11 |
| I04 | INST |  | BB |  |  | AS | 2025-04-01 |  | A15 |
| I05 | INST |  | A- |  |  | AS | 2023-06-01 | 2026-04-15 | A28 |
| I05 | INST |  | BBB+ |  |  | DG | 2026-04-15 |  | A29 |
| I06 | INST |  | A- |  |  | AS | 2024-03-01 |  | A42 |
| I07 | INST |  | BBB- |  |  | AS | 2025-04-01 |  | A45 |

Query 4:

| country | ceiling | valid_from |
|---|---|---|
| CV | A | 2024-01-01 |
| VD | BB | 2025-04-01 |

Query 5:

| entity_id | ancestor_id | levels_up |
|---|---|---|
| E04 | E02 | 1 |
| E10 | E09 | 1 |
| E11 | E10 | 1 |
| E11 | E09 | 2 |

Run more queries, or give the final answers.
The model
**Q1.** A-. E01's foreign-currency issuer rating on 2025-01-01 was A- (A01, valid 2024-03-12 to 2025-06-20).

**Q2.** No. E01's only 2026 action was an affirmation with the outlook moved to Negative (A03, 2026-02-10); the downgrade to BBB was in 2025 (A02).

**Q3.** No. The 2031 note I02 is rated BB+ since 2025-06-20 (A07), which is below investment grade.

**Q4.** Positive. E02's current rating action is A09, with outlook POS.

**Q5.** E02 (Northwind Holdings), the guarantor of I03. I03 is rated A (A11).

**Q6.** Valdoria's Country Ceiling is BB (VD, from 2025-04-01), and E05's foreign-currency rating is BB (A14). Its local-currency rating is BBB- (A13). That ceiling is the likely cause, but the data doesn't state the reason explicitly.

**Q7.** E08 and E10. E08 was downgraded in 2026 (A21, A22) and E10 on 2026-04-15 (A27). E06's Rating Watch Negative (RWN) is not a downgrade.

**Q8.** E08. Its rating is RD from 2026-07-08 (A22), still in force.

**Q9.** 12. Current non-withdrawn issuer ratings are held by CV, E01, E02, E05, E06, E08, E09, E10, E12, E13, E14 and E15. E07's was withdrawn (A19).

**Q10.** Depends. E05 is BB in foreign currency (A14, sub-investment grade) but BBB- in local currency (A13, investment grade).

**Q11.** BBB+. E14 on 2025-06-01 was BBB+ (A36, from 2024-09-30).

**Q12.** A-. E14 on 2024-01-01 was A- (A34).

**Q13.** 1. The only downgrade is A36 (2024-09-30).

**Q14.** None. E12's first rating (A30) starts on 2024-02-01.

**Q15.** A-. E10 (which merges E17) was A- on 2026-01-01 (A26).

**Q16.** No. E14 was BBB+ on 2025-01-01 and is BBB+ now (A33), though it passed through a watch period (A35).

**Q17.** No. E06 stayed at A- and was placed on Rating Watch Negative (A17), which is not a downgrade.

**Q18.** E06 (A17).

**Q19.** E01 and E09 (A03, A25).

**Q20.** No. E07's rating was withdrawn (A19), not moved to a default grade, so there is no default record.

**Q21.** E07. Its rating was withdrawn on 2026-05-12 (A19).

**Q22.** E08, which reached RD (A22).

**Q23.** F2 (A04).

**Q24.** Yes. E01's issuer rating is BBB (A03).

**Q25.** 5. The investment-grade instruments are I01 (BBB), I03 (A), I05 (BBB+), I06 (A-) and I07 (BBB-).

**Q26.** A+ (A40).

**Q27.** A- (I06, A42).

**Q28.** BBB+ (CV, A38).

**Q29.** None. VD has no rating rows.

**Q30.** E05 and E15. E05 is BB against VD's BB ceiling, and E15 is A against CV's A ceiling.

**Q31.** No. E05 and E15 are exactly at their ceilings, not above.

**Q32.** E09.

**Q33.** E10, the guarantor of I05. I05 is rated BBB+ (A29).

**Q34.** No. E12 has no parent, while E10's ultimate parent is E09.

**Q35.** 3: E09, E10 and E11.

**Q36.** 2: E02 and E04.

**Q37.** 16. The entities table has 16 rows after duplicates were merged.

**Q38.** No. E06 and E13 are separate entities with different LEIs and countries (DE and US).

**Q39.** A (A09).

**Q40.** 5. The GB issuers with a current issuer rating are E01, E02, E09, E12 and E14. E07 is excluded because its rating was withdrawn.

**Q41.** None. Brindle Capital is not in the data.

**Q42.** LU.

**Q43.** 1: E10.

**Q44.** Yes. I07 has local_currency = yes and is denominated in XVD.

**Q45.** No. The ceiling caps foreign-currency ratings, and I07 is a local-currency obligation rated BBB- (A45). I'm assuming the ceiling applies only to foreign currency, which the data doesn't state.

**Q46.** No. Only its instrument I05 is rated; E11 has no issuer rating rows.

**Q47.** None. I08 has no rating.

**Q48.** 7. I01 to I07 are rated, and I08 is not.

```json
{
"Q1": {"rating": "A-"},
"Q2": {"downgraded": "no"},
"Q3": {"investment_grade": "no", "rating": "BB+"},
"Q4": {"outlook": "POS"},
"Q5": {"risk_of": "E02", "rating": "A"},
"Q7": {"issuers": ["E08", "E10"]},
"Q8": {"entities": ["E08"]},
"Q9": {"count": 12},
"Q10": {"investment_grade": "depends"},
"Q11": {"rating": "BBB+"},
"Q12": {"rating": "A-"},
"Q13": {"count": 1},
"Q14": {"rating": "none"},
"Q15": {"rating": "A-"},
"Q16": {"changed": "no"},
"Q17": {"downgraded": "no"},
"Q18": {"issuers": ["E06"]},
"Q19": {"issuers": ["E01", "E09"]},
"Q20": {"in_default": "no"},
"Q21": {"entities": ["E07"]},
"Q22": {"entities": ["E08"]},
"Q23": {"rating": "F2"},
"Q24": {"investment_grade": "yes"},
"Q25": {"count": 5},
"Q26": {"rating": "A+"},
"Q27": {"rating": "A-"},
"Q28": {"rating": "BBB+"},
"Q29": {"rating": "none"},
"Q30": {"entities": ["E05", "E15"]},
"Q31": {"any": "no"},
"Q32": {"parent": "E09"},
"Q33": {"risk_of": "E10", "rating": "BBB+"},
"Q34": {"same_group": "no"},
"Q35": {"count": 3},
"Q36": {"count": 2},
"Q37": {"count": 16},
"Q38": {"same": "no"},
"Q39": {"rating": "A"},
"Q40": {"count": 5},
"Q41": {"rating": "none"},
"Q42": {"country": "LU"},
"Q43": {"count": 1},
"Q44": {"local_currency": "yes"},
"Q45": {"above_ceiling": "no"},
"Q46": {"issuer_rating": "no"},
"Q47": {"rating": "none"},
"Q48": {"count": 7}
}
```