Q18, run 2026-11-05-1233-haiku

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Which issuers were on Rating Watch Negative on 1 October 2026?

Tests: Watch over time: Marlow's Watch ended with its 2026 affirmation.

Expected: issuers = ['E06']

✅ R1 csv run 1 graded by code

E06. Its RWN (A17, 2026-09-03) has no later resolving action. E14's RWN (A35) was cleared by the 2026-05-01 affirmation (A33).

JSON: {"issuers": ["E06"]}

✅ R1 csv run 2 graded by code

E06. Its rating watch negative (A17) is still open. The watch on E14 (A35) was cleared by the affirmation A33 (2026-05-01).

JSON: {"issuers": ["E06"]}

✅ R1 csv run 3 graded by code

E06. Its RWN watch (A17, 2026-09-03) has no resolution. E14's watch (A35) was closed by the affirmation A33, which carries no watch flag.

JSON: {"issuers": ["E06"]}

✅ R1 csv run 4 graded by code

E06. A17 placed it on Rating Watch Negative on 2026-09-03 with no later resolution. E14's watch (A35) appears cleared, since A33 carries no watch flag.

JSON: {"issuers": ["E06"]}

✅ R1 csv run 5 graded by code

E06. It was placed on RWN on 2026-09-03 (A17) and nothing resolves it by 2026-10-01. E14's RWN (A35) was resolved by the 2026-05-01 affirmation.

JSON: {"issuers": ["E06"]}

✅ R2 rdf run 1 graded by code

E06. Its watch placed on 2026-09-03 (A17) is still open. E14's watch (A35) has no explicit closure, though the 2026-05-01 affirmation (A33) probably resolved it.

JSON: {"issuers": ["E06"]}

✅ R2 rdf run 2 graded by code

E06, via A17 (RWN, 2026-09-03). E14's watch (A35) was superseded by the affirmation A33 (2026-05-01), which carries no watch.

JSON: {"issuers": ["E06"]}

✅ R2 rdf run 3 graded by code

E06
E06 is still on Rating Watch Negative from A17. The watch on E14 (A35) appears to have been resolved by the affirmation on 2026-05-01 (A33), which is an inference from the action codes.

JSON: {"issuers": ["E06"]}

❌ R2 rdf run 4 graded by code

E06 and E14. A17 and A35 place them on Rating Watch Negative, and the data records no resolution.

JSON: {"issuers": ["E06", "E14"]}

Why: issuers: expected ['E06'], got ['E06', 'E14']

✅ R2 rdf run 5 graded by code

E06, on Rating Watch Negative from A17 (2026-09-03) with no resolution recorded. E14's watch (A35) appears resolved by the 2026-05-01 affirmation (A33) that carries no watch flag, but that is an inference.

JSON: {"issuers": ["E06"]}

✅ R6 rdf+ontology run 1 graded by code

E06. A17 (RWN, 2026-09-03) is still in effect. E14's watch (A35, 2025-11-20) is not explicitly cleared in the data, but the 2026-05-01 affirmation (A33) likely resolved it, so I've excluded it.

JSON: {"issuers": ["E06"]}

✅ R6 rdf+ontology run 2 graded by code

E06
E06 was placed on Rating Watch Negative on 2026-09-03 (A17), with no resolution by 1 October. E14's watch from 2025-11-20 (A35) appears cleared by the 2026-05-01 affirmation (A33), which has no watch flag. The ontology does not explicitly say an affirmation clears a watch, so that part is an inference.

JSON: {"issuers": ["E06"]}

✅ R6 rdf+ontology run 3 graded by code

E06. A17 (2026-09-03) placed it on Watch and nothing later cleared it. E14's Watch (A35) was followed by an affirmation (A33) with no watch flag, so I read it as cleared.

JSON: {"issuers": ["E06"]}

✅ R6 rdf+ontology run 4 graded by code

**E06 only.** A17 (2026-09-03) is the latest action and carries the RWN watch. E14's watch (A35) was superseded by the 2026-05-01 affirmation (A33), which carries no watch.

JSON: {"issuers": ["E06"]}

✅ R6 rdf+ontology run 5 graded by code

E06
A17 placed E06 on Rating Watch Negative on 2026-09-03 with no later action removing it. E14's watch (A35) was not carried forward by its later affirmation (A33), which is an assumption, since the data does not say how watches end.

JSON: {"issuers": ["E06"]}

✅ R5 csv+ontology run 1 graded by code

E06. A17 places E06 on RWN and no later action clears it. E14's watch from A35 was cleared by the affirmation A33.

JSON: {"issuers": ["E06"]}

✅ R5 csv+ontology run 2 graded by code

E06. A17 (2026-09-03) put Orrin Bank AG on RWN, and nothing later cleared it. E14's Watch (A35) was superseded by A33 (2026-05-01), which has no Watch set.

JSON: {"issuers": ["E06"]}

✅ R5 csv+ontology run 3 graded by code

Orrin Bank AG (E06). A17 placed it on RWN and no later action clears the watch. E14's watch from A35 was cleared by A33 (blank watch field).

JSON: {"issuers": ["E06"]}

✅ R5 csv+ontology run 4 graded by code

E06 (Orrin Bank AG). A17 (2026-09-03) placed it on RWN, and no later action clears it. E14's RWN (A35) was cleared by its later affirmation A33, which carries no watch.

JSON: {"issuers": ["E06"]}

✅ R5 csv+ontology run 5 graded by code

E06. Its latest action (A17, 2026-09-03) places it on Rating Watch Negative. Marlow (E14) had a Rating Watch Negative in 2025 (A35), but its later affirmation A33 shows no watch.

JSON: {"issuers": ["E06"]}

✅ R4 csv+markdown run 1 graded by code

E06. A17 (2026-09-03) placed it on RWN. E14's Rating Watch (A35) was cleared by A33's affirmation, which carries no watch.

JSON: {"issuers": ["E06"]}

✅ R4 csv+markdown run 2 graded by code

E06. Its Rating Watch Negative (A17, 2026-09-03) had not been cleared by 1 Oct 2026. E14's watch (A35) was cleared by the 2026-05-01 affirmation (A33), which has no watch flag.

JSON: {"issuers": ["E06"]}

✅ R4 csv+markdown run 3 graded by code

E06. Only A17 carries RWN. A35's RWN on E14 was cleared by A33 (2026-05-01), which has no watch set.

JSON: {"issuers": ["E06"]}

✅ R4 csv+markdown run 4 graded by code

E06 (Orrin Bank AG). A17 places it on RWN, and no later action clears it. E14's watch (A35) was cleared by the affirmation A33 (watch blank).

JSON: {"issuers": ["E06"]}

✅ R4 csv+markdown run 5 graded by code

E06. A17 placed it on Rating Watch Negative, and no later action changes that. E14's Watch from A35 was cleared when A33 (2026-05-01) left the watch field blank.

JSON: {"issuers": ["E06"]}

✅ R3 csv+padding run 1 graded by code

Orrin Bank AG (E06), on watch from A17. Marlow (E14) had a watch placed in A35, but the 2026-05-01 affirmation (A33) carries no watch flag, so I treated it as resolved.

JSON: {"issuers": ["E06"]}

✅ R3 csv+padding run 2 graded by code

E06 (A17, RWN, 2026-09-03). E14 was placed on RWN in 2025-11 (A35), but its May 2026 affirmation (A33) shows no watch flag, so it is probably resolved.

JSON: {"issuers": ["E06"]}

✅ R3 csv+padding run 3 graded by code

E06. Orrin Bank AG was placed on Rating Watch Negative on 2026-09-03 (A17), and no later resolution is recorded. E14's watch (A35) appears to have lapsed with the later affirmation (A33), which has no watch flag.

JSON: {"issuers": ["E06"]}

✅ R3 csv+padding run 4 graded by code

E06. A17 placed it on RWN on 2026-09-03 and nothing has resolved it. E14's RWN (A35) appears to have been cleared by the later affirmation (A33), though the data doesn't say so explicitly.

JSON: {"issuers": ["E06"]}

✅ R3 csv+padding run 5 graded by code

E06. A17 (2026-09-03) placed it on Rating Watch Negative and nothing later resolves it. E14's watch from A35 appears cleared by the later affirmation A33, which has no watch flag.

JSON: {"issuers": ["E06"]}

✅ R10 executed run 1 graded by code

E06. It is the only entity with watch RWN on 1 October 2026 (A17, from 2026-09-03). E14's RWN (A35) ended on 2026-05-01.

JSON: {"issuers": ["E06"]}

✅ R10 executed run 2 graded by code

E06. A17 is RWN with no end date. E14's RWN ended on 2026-05-01.

JSON: {"issuers": ["E06"]}

✅ R10 executed run 3 graded by code

E06. Its RWN watch status (A17) is open-ended, while E14's RWN (A35) ended on 2026-05-01.

JSON: {"issuers": ["E06"]}

✅ R10 executed run 4 graded by code

E06. It is on RWN from 2026-09-03 (A17), still open. E14's RWN ended 2026-05-01.

JSON: {"issuers": ["E06"]}

✅ R10 executed run 5 graded by code

Orrin Bank (E06). Its RWN (A17) is current, and Marlow's RWN (A35) ended on 2026-05-01.

JSON: {"issuers": ["E06"]}

✅ R7 csv+neutral run 1 graded by code

Orrin Bank AG (E06). Its Rating Watch Negative was set on 2026-09-03 (A17) and no later action clears it. Marlow's watch (A35) was cleared by the later affirmation (A33).

JSON: {"issuers": ["E06"]}

✅ R7 csv+neutral run 2 graded by code

E06 only. A17 (2026-09-03) placed it on Rating Watch Negative, and no later action on E06 clears it. E14's Watch from A35 was cleared by the affirmation A33 (2026-05-01), which has no Watch set.

JSON: {"issuers": ["E06"]}

✅ R7 csv+neutral run 3 graded by code

E06. Orrin Bank was placed on Rating Watch Negative on 2026-09-03 (A17). Marlow's Watch (A35) was cleared by the 2026-05-01 affirmation (A33), which carries no watch flag.

JSON: {"issuers": ["E06"]}

✅ R7 csv+neutral run 4 graded by code

E06
A17 placed E06 on Rating Watch Negative on 2026-09-03, with no later action clearing it. E14's watch from A35 was cleared when it was affirmed without a watch on 2026-05-01 (A33).

JSON: {"issuers": ["E06"]}

✅ R7 csv+neutral run 5 graded by code

E06 (Orrin Bank). Its latest action (A17) sets Rating Watch Negative. Marlow (E14) had RWN in A35, but its later affirmation (A33) carries no watch flag, so I treated that watch as cleared. This is an interpretation.

JSON: {"issuers": ["E06"]}

✅ R8 csv+axioms run 1 graded by code

E06. A17 (2026-09-03) carries RWN with no later action. E14's RWN (A35, 2025-11-20) appears superseded by its 2026-05-01 affirmation (A33), which has no watch flag; this is an inference, since the data doesn't state the watch was resolved.

JSON: {"issuers": ["E06"]}

✅ R8 csv+axioms run 2 graded by code

E06. Its RWN was placed on 2026-09-03 (A17) with no later resolution. E14's RWN (A35) was followed by an affirmation (A33) that records no watch, so I read it as cleared; that reading is an inference.

JSON: {"issuers": ["E06"]}

✅ R8 csv+axioms run 3 graded by code

E06. Its watch placement (A17, RWN) has no later action. E14's earlier watch (A35) appears cleared by A33, which records no watch, but the data does not say so explicitly.

JSON: {"issuers": ["E06"]}

✅ R8 csv+axioms run 4 graded by code

E06. A17 (2026-09-03) is the only RWN action still in force; A35 was superseded by the affirmation A33 on 2026-05-01.

JSON: {"issuers": ["E06"]}

✅ R8 csv+axioms run 5 graded by code

E06
A17 (RWN, 2026-09-03) is in force on 1 Oct 2026. E14's RWN (A35) was superseded by A33 on 2026-05-01.

JSON: {"issuers": ["E06"]}

✅ R9 csv+axioms+markdown run 1 graded by code

E06 (Orrin Bank AG). A17 (2026-09-03) placed it on Rating Watch Negative and no later action exists. E14's watch (A35) was cleared by the affirmation A33 (2026-05-01), which has no watch set.

JSON: {"issuers": ["E06"]}

✅ R9 csv+axioms+markdown run 2 graded by code

E06. A17 placed it on Rating Watch Negative on 2026-09-03. E14's watch (A35) was cleared by the affirmation A33 (2026-05-01), which has no watch flag.

JSON: {"issuers": ["E06"]}

✅ R9 csv+axioms+markdown run 3 graded by code

E06. Its RWN (A17, 2026-09-03) is still in effect. E14's watch from A35 is treated as cleared by the 2026-05-01 affirmation (A33), which has no watch set. That reading is an inference from the data.

JSON: {"issuers": ["E06"]}

✅ R9 csv+axioms+markdown run 4 graded by code

E06. A17 (2026-09-03) placed it on Rating Watch Negative, with no later action. E14's watch (A35) was cleared by A33 (affirmation, watch blank).

JSON: {"issuers": ["E06"]}

✅ R9 csv+axioms+markdown run 5 graded by code

Orrin Bank AG (E06). A17 (2026-09-03) placed it on RWN, and no later action clears it. E14's watch from A35 was cleared by A33 (AF, watch blank, 2026-05-01).

JSON: {"issuers": ["E06"]}